Most experts say AI isn’t as much of a threat as you might think - let's debate!

“Bostrom aggregates the results of four different surveys of groups such as participants in a conference called “Philosophy and Theory of AI,” held in 2011 in Thessaloniki, Greece, and members of the Greek Association for Artificial Intelligence (he does not provide response rates or the phrasing of questions, and he does not account for the reliance on data collected in Greece).

His findings are presented as probabilities that human-level AI will be attained by a certain time:

By 2022: 10 percent.

By 2040: 50 percent.

By 2075: 90 percent.”

Most experts say AI isn’t as much of a threat as you might think
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/602410/are-the-experts-worried-about-the-existential-risk-of-artificial-intelligence/
via Instapaper

When your boss is an algorithm - great read via the FT

“There are no good estimates on the global scale of the gig economy but in the US there are about 800,000 people earning money this way — via online intermediaries such as TaskRabbit, Lyft, Uber and Deliveroo — without being anyone’s employee. The term “algorithmic management” was coined last year by academics at the Carnegie Mellon University Human-Computer Interaction Institute, and it is this innovation, they argue, that makes the gig economy possible. For companies like Uber, which aspires to “make transportation as reliable as running water”, algorithmic management solves a problem: how to instruct, track and evaluate a crowd of casual workers you do not employ, so they deliver a responsive, seamless, standardised service.”

When your boss is an algorithm
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/88fdc58e-754f-11e6-b60a-de4532d5ea35.html
via Instapaper

Do no harm, don't discriminate: official guidance issued on robot ethics

“Now the British Standards Institute has issued a more official version aimed at helping designers create ethically sound robots.

The document, BS8611 Robots and robotic devices, is written in the dry language of a health and safety manual, but the undesirable scenarios it highlights could be taken directly from fiction. Robot deception, robot addiction and the possibility of self-learning systems exceeding their remits are all noted as hazards that manufacturers should consider.

Welcoming the guidelines at the Social Robotics and AI conference in Oxford, Alan Winfield, a professor of robotics at the University of the West of England, said they represented “the first step towards embedding ethical values into robotics and AI”.”

Do no harm, don't discriminate: official guidance issued on robot ethics
http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/sep/18/official-guidance-robot-ethics-british-standards-institute
via Instapaper

Artificial Intelligence Software Is Booming. But Why Now? - NYTimes.com

“How will we know when the A.I. revolution has taken hold? A technology truly matures when it disappears. We don’t marvel at houses with electricity now, or the idea of driving to work at 60 miles an hour. We can say “phone” and mean a hand-held computer with NASA-level processing power and a professional-quality camera for taking selfies with our drones.”

Artificial Intelligence Software Is Booming. But Why Now? - NYTimes.com
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/19/technology/artificial-intelligence-software-is-booming-but-why-now.html?nytmobile=0
via Instapaper

What artificial intelligence will look like in 2030

“Now is the time to consider the design, ethical, and policy challenges that AI technologies raise,” said Grosz. “If we tackle these issues now and take them seriously, we will have systems that are better designed in the future and more appropriate policies to guide their use.””

What artificial intelligence will look like in 2030
http://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2016/09/what-artificial-intelligence-will-look-like-in-2030/
via Instapaper

Robots will eliminate 6% of all US jobs by 2021, report says - read this !

“By 2021 a disruptive tidal wave will begin. Solutions powered by AI/cognitive technology will displace jobs, with the biggest impact felt in transportation, logistics, customer service and consumer services,” said Forrester’s Brian Hopkins in the report.

The Inevitable Robot Uprising has already started, with at least 45% of US online adults saying they use at least one of the aforementioned digital concierges. Intelligent agents can access calendars, email accounts, browsing history, playlists, purchases and media viewing history to create a detailed view of any given individual. With this knowledge, virtual agents can provide highly customized assistance, which is valuable to shops or banks trying to deliver better customer service.”

Robots will eliminate 6% of all US jobs by 2021, report says
http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/sep/13/artificial-intelligence-robots-threat-jobs-forrester-report
via Instapaper

Technology Vs Humanity: Forbes intervista Gerd Leonhard. Italian translation of TVH themes

“Tecnologia Vs Umanità: cosa ci aspetterà in futuro?

Dici che l'umanità cambierà più nei prossimi 20 anni rispetto ai 300 anni precedenti. Perché pensi che questo sia vero quando la maggior parte dei progressi tecnologici sembrano aver avuto poco a che fare con gli umani, piuttosto che l'effetto o i problemi che hanno creato agli umani stessi?

La tecnologia viene sempre creata dagli umani e a sua volta ridefinisce ciò che possiamo fare e che faremo. Ogni singolo cambiamento tecnologico ora sta impattando l'umanità in un modo più profondo rispetto al passato perché, presto, la tecnologia impatterà la nostra biologia, principalmente attraverso l'ascesa dell'editing del genoma e dell'intelligenza artificiale.”

Technology Vs Humanity: Forbes intervista Gerd Leonhard
http://www.controcorrenteblog.com/2016/09/technology-vs-humanity-forbes-intervista-gerd-leonhard.html
via Instapaper

The Next Industrial Revolution Is Coming and It Could Destroy Millions of Jobs #mademethink !

“I think the digital revolution is probably going to be as important and transformative as the industrial revolution. The main reason is machine intelligence, a general-purpose technology that can be used anywhere, from driving cars to customer service, and it’s getting better very, very quickly. There’s no reason to think that improvement will slow down, whether or not Moore’s Law continues.

I think this transformative revolution will create an abundance of labor. It will create enormous growth in [the supply of workers and machines], automating a lot of industries and boosting productivity. When you have this glut of workers, it plays havoc with existing institutions.

I think we are headed for a really important era in economic history. The Industrial Revolution is a pretty good guide of what that will look like. There will have to be a societal negotiation for how to share the gains from growth. That process will be long and drawn out. It will involve intense ideological conflict, and history suggests that a lot will go wrong.”

The Next Industrial Revolution Is Coming and It Could Destroy Millions of Jobs
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2016/09/the-next-industrial-revolution/498779/

Gerd adds: totally agreed on the "societal negotiation" on sharing the gains !!

Googling our medical symptoms is making us sicker - software 'cheating the world'?

“The web has the potential to increase anxieties of people who have little or no medical training,” White and Horvitz concluded, “especially when web search is employed as a diagnostic procedure.” Now, seven years later, even Google admits that “health content on the web can be difficult to navigate, and tends to lead people from mild symptoms to scary and unlikely conditions, which can cause unnecessary anxiety and stress.””

Googling our medical symptoms is making us sicker
http://qz.com/773031/googling-our-medical-symptoms-is-making-us-sicker/
via Instapaper

Eleven Reasons To Be Excited About The Future of Technology – Medium

“‘It may be a hundred years before a computer beats humans at Go — maybe even longer.” — New York Times, 1997
“Master of Go Board Game Is Walloped by Google Computer Program” — New York Times, 2016”

Eleven Reasons To Be Excited About The Future of Technology – Medium
https://medium.com/@cdixon/eleven-reasons-to-be-excited-about-the-future-of-technology-ef5f9b939cb2
via Instapaper