The Real Risks of AI – NewCo Shift

“AGI can be something that we have virtually no understanding or recognition of, but which may have a significant understanding of us if it is given access to the Internet or a significant data repository.

Such a lack of mutual understanding is where all of the real risks reside. This is what should be talking about when we talk about worst case scenarios. We erroneously assume that we will be able to recognize AGI as such.”

The Real Risks of AI – NewCo Shift
https://shift.newco.co/the-real-risks-of-ai-86d031151798
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The DeepMind debacle demands dialogue on data - thoughtful read via Nature.com

“Innovations such as artificial intelligence, machine learning and the Internet of Things offer great opportunities, but will falter without a public consensus around the role of data. To develop this, all data collectors and crunchers must be open and transparent. Consider how public confidence in genetic modification was lost in Europe, and how that has set back progress.

Public dialogue can build trust through collaborative efforts. A 14-member Citizen's Reference Panel on health technologies was convened in Ontario, Canada in 2009. The Engage2020 programme incorporates societal input in the Horizon2020 stream of European Union science funding.”

The DeepMind debacle demands dialogue on data
http://www.nature.com/news/the-deepmind-debacle-demands-dialogue-on-data-1.22330
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When Moore’s Law Met AI – Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Computing – Medium

“AI is bigger than Moore’s Law

In a nutshell, this shift by Tesla summarizes the kinds of demand machine learning-like applications are going to make on available processing. It isn’t just autonomous vehicles. It will be our connected devices, on-device inferencing to support personal interfaces, voice interactions and augmented reality.

In addition, our programming modalities our changing. In the pre-machine learning world, a large amount of ‘heavy lifting’ was done by the brains of the software developer. These smart developers have the task of simplifying and representing the world mathematically (as software code), which then gets executed in a deterministic and dumb fashion.

In the new world of machine learning, the software developer needs to worry less about translating the detailed abstractions of the world into code. Instead, they build probabilistic models which need to crunch enormous datasets to recommend a best output. What the programmer saves in figuring out a mathematical abstraction they make up for by asking the computer to do many calculations (often billions at a time).

As machine learning creeps across the enterprise, the demand for processing in the firm will increasingly significantly. What kind of impact will this have on the IT industry, its hardware and software suppliers? How will practices change? What opportunities will this create?”

When Moore’s Law Met AI – Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Computing – Medium
https://medium.com/s/ai-and-the-future-of-computing/when-moores-law-met-ai-f572585da1b7
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What next? How future gazing became big business (Quoting

“Leonhard says he simply focuses on the long term for people who are too busy do it for themselves. “If you took any executive and freed them up for two weeks and said look to the future they could probably find out what it is if they set their mind to it. Since they never get time, they use me as a translator.””

What next? How future gazing became big business
http://www.theguardian.com/small-business-network/2017/jul/19/what-next-how-future-gazing-became-big-business
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Tencent and digital ethics

“🎲 Tencent falls 3.7% after limiting the gaming time for children on its top-grossing mobile game. More than 50m people play Honour of Kings daily, generating revenues of $876m for Tencent in Q1. I know at least one mother who felt this voluntary anti-addiction move which wiped $13bn off their market cap was a corporate responsibility of the highest order - even if they had a nudge”

🔮⭐ Saul Klein special; Zebra economy, the rise of Chinafrica, crypto bubble bursting, teleporting ++#122
http://mailchi.mp/exponentialview/ev122?e=19e1d53fe6
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From Inequality to Immortality

“my grim forecast is that a world where such miracles of longevity are confined to billionaires will see socio-political upheaval, the likes of which will make the current hand-wringing and brow-furrowing on the rise of inequality seem quaint in comparison. In the meantime, expect a lot of books and articles and blog posts, targeted at the thought-leader industrial complex, that will at the least, make for stimulating conversation.”

From Inequality to Immortality
https://knowledge.insead.edu/blog/insead-blog/from-inequality-to-immortality-6596
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Is advertising over? What chief marketers are saying about the future of marketing (interruption is dead)

“eMarketer predicts that brands will spend a staggering $34 billion on Facebook this year alone.

But as businesses spend ever more money on advertising – nearly $500 billion in 2016 globally according to MAGNA – there are clear signs of nervousness among big business and a recognition that ads can be super annoying. YouTube, for example, will pull its 30-second non-skippable ad format next year, because it wants to provide "a better ads experience for users online," according a statement emailed to CNBC.

In April, Procter and Gamble, one of the world's largest advertisers, blasted the ad industry for overwhelming consumers with advertising. "There's too much crap," said P&G's chief brand officer Marc Pritchard, in a speech to the American Association of Advertising Agencies, in a transcript seen by CNBC.


"We bombard consumers with thousands of ads a day, subject them to endless load times, interrupt them with pop-ups and overpopulate their screens and feeds," he said. Pritchard called for advertisers and agencies to work together to make better content, and said that P&G will be "focusing on fewer and better ideas that last longer."”

Is advertising over? What chief marketers are saying about the future of marketing
http://www.cnbc.com/2017/05/26/is-advertising-over-what-chief-marketers-are-saying-about-the-future.html
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When Will the Planet Be Too Hot For Humans? Much, Much Sooner Than You Imagine.

“Until recently, permafrost was not a major concern of climate scientists, because, as the name suggests, it was soil that stayed permanently frozen. But Arctic permafrost contains 1.8 trillion tons of carbon, more than twice as much as is currently suspended in the Earth’s atmosphere. When it thaws and is released, that carbon may evaporate as methane, which is 34 times as powerful a greenhouse-gas warming blanket as carbon dioxide when judged on the timescale of a century; when judged on the timescale of two decades, it is 86 times as powerful. In other words, we have, trapped in Arctic permafrost, twice as much carbon as is currently wrecking the atmosphere of the planet, all of it scheduled to be released at a date that keeps getting moved up, partially in the form of a gas that multiplies its warming power 86 times over.”

When Will the Planet Be Too Hot For Humans? Much, Much Sooner Than You Imagine.
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/07/climate-change-earth-too-hot-for-humans.html
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A Blueprint for Coexistence with AI | Very thoughtful piece by Kei Fu Li

“Our coexistence with artificial intelligence hinges on combining what is humanly unattainable—the hugely scaled narrow AI intelligence that will only get better at any given domain—with what we humans can uniquely offer to one another. And that is love. What makes us human is that we can love.

We are far from understanding the human “heart,” let alone replicating it. But we do know that humans are uniquely able to love and be loved. The moment when we see our newborn babies; the feeling of love at first sight; the warm feeling from friends who listen to us empathetically; the feeling of self-actualization when we help someone in need. Loving and being loved are what makes our lives worthwhile.”

A Blueprint for Coexistence with AI | Backchannel
https://www.wired.com/story/a-blueprint-for-coexistence-with-artificial-intelligence/
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Climate Change: Are We as Doomed as That New York Magazine Article Says? (The Atlantic)

“On the other hand, a strategy for addressing climate change is coming together. The cost of solar and wind energy are plunging worldwide; carmakers are promising to take more of their fleet electric, and the amount of carbon released into the atmosphere from human activity has stabilized over the past three years. Decarbonizing will be an arduous and difficult global project—but technological development and government policy are finally bringing it into the realm of the possible.

But on the other, other hand, the Trump administration is methodically and successfully undermining the substance of American climate policy. It has spread untruths about climate science, abandoned the Paris Agreement, and stricken dozens of climate-focused EPA rules from the law books. Michael Oppenheimer, a Princeton professor who has observed climate diplomacy for 30 years, told me that this is one of the most dispiriting moments he can remember—and that he believes Earth is now doomed to warm by more than two degrees Celsius.

That’s the state of the world right now. There are three ongoing shifts and no easy way to synthesize them. The facts don’t lend themselves to an overwhelming vision. Instead, they suggest that the planet’s economic system is in the middle of a difficult and supremely important political battle with itself. As Brad Plumer, a New York Times climate reporter, tweeted last week: There are “two radically opposed visions of the future; [it’s] not yet clear which one will win out.”

It’s into that morass that this week’s New York magazine walks. In a widely shared article, David Wallace-Wells sketches the bleakest possible scenario for global warming. He warns of a planet so awash in greenhouse gas that Brooklyn’s heat waves will rival Bahrain’s. The breadbaskets of China and the United States will enter a debilitating and everlasting drought, he says. And millions of brains will so lack oxygen that they’ll slip into a carbon-induced confusion.”

Are We as Doomed as That New York Magazine Article Says?
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2017/07/is-the-earth-really-that-doomed/533112/
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